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2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Politics Vol. $364,240 50 traders

Jean-Luc Mélenchon95%
Édouard Philippe88%
Nathalie Arthaud88%
Marine Le Pen87%
$364,240 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

46
Chance
Marine Le Pen
87% ▲ 1
Jordan Bardella
12%
Éric Zemmour
81% ▲ 11
Édouard Philippe
88%
David Lisnard
56%
Xavier Bertrand
17% ▼ 2
Laurent Wauquiez
3%
François Ruffin
37%
Gabriel Attal
27% ▼ 1
Bruno Retailleau
67%
François Hollande
29% ▼ 1
Raphaël Glucksmann
56% ▼ 2
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
95%
Marine Tondelier
26%
Fabien Roussel
79%
Olivier Faure
13%
Dominique de Villepin
26% ▲ 1
Ségolène Royal
3%
François Asselineau
10%
Clémentine Autain
3%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
56%
Michel Barnier
5%
Valérie Pécresse
3%
François Bayrou
6%
Élisabeth Borne
7%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
5%
Jean Castex
5%
Gérald Darmanin
5%
Carole Delga
5%
Bernard Cazeneuve
6%
Manuel Bompard
8%
Mathilde Panot
6%
Sarah Knafo
13% ▲ 2
Sébastien Lecornu
6% ▼ 1
Jean-Michel Fauvergue
8%
Nathalie Arthaud
88% ▼ 1
Delphine Batho
8%
Jérôme Guedj
4%
Karim Bouamrane
6% ▼ 4
Michel-Edouard Leclerc
7%
Manuel Valls
5%
Teddy Riner
6%
Matthieu Pigasse
8% ▲ 1
Juan Branco
12% ▼ 1
Philippe de Villiers
5%
Bally Bagayoko
6%

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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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