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Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Politics Vol. $63,485 50 traders

J.D. Vance90%
Ted Cruz87%
Pete Buttigieg87%
Gavin Newsom82%
$63,485 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

71
Chance
Gavin Newsom
82%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
53% ▼ 2
Pete Buttigieg
87%
Josh Shapiro
63% ▼ 1
Wes Moore
65% ▲ 3
Stephen A. Smith
19%
Kamala Harris
71%
Gretchen Whitmer
41% ▲ 2
Andy Beshear
78%
Jon Ossoff
62%
Mark Cuban
17%
J.B. Pritzker
66% ▼ 1
Raphael Warnock
34% ▲ 1
Cory Booker
65% ▼ 2
Tim Walz
10%
Michelle Obama
16%
Mark Kelly
64% ▲ 1
Rahm Emanuel
74% ▼ 1
Gina Raimondo
20%
Zohran Mamdani
11%
Roy Cooper
14% ▼ 1
John Fetterman
23% ▼ 8
Jared Polis
36%
Jon Stewart
17%
Barack Obama
2%
Hillary Clinton
7%
Liz Cheney
13% ▲ 1
Bernie Sanders
16%
Phil Murphy
22%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
14%
George Clooney
21% ▲ 1
Chelsea Clinton
3%
MrBeast
9%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
16% ▲ 1
Oprah Winfrey
13%
Andrew Yang
73% ▲ 4
Beto O’Rourke
28% ▲ 1
Kim Kardashian
14%
Donald Trump
12%
J.D. Vance
90%
Marco Rubio
38% ▼ 1
Tulsi Gabbard
19% ▲ 1
Glenn Youngkin
27% ▲ 1
Donald Trump Jr.
19% ▲ 1
Ron DeSantis
79% ▼ 2
Nikki Haley
39%
Vivek Ramaswamy
19% ▲ 1
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
51% ▼ 1
Greg Abbott
25% ▲ 2
Brian Kemp
26% ▲ 2
Byron Donalds
22%
Elise Stefanik
32% ▼ 1
Josh Hawley
45% ▼ 16
Ted Cruz
87% ▲ 1
Elon Musk
21% ▲ 2
Matt Gaetz
51% ▲ 36
Katie Britt
28%
John Thune
15% ▼ 1
Kristi Noem
30% ▲ 1
Mike Pence
18% ▲ 1
Tucker Carlson
26%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
16%
Ivanka Trump
12% ▲ 1
Tom Brady
14% ▲ 1
Rand Paul
36% ▲ 1
Steve Bannon
18%
Erika Kirk
8%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
28% ▲ 1
Don Lemon
28% ▲ 1
Candace Owens
49%

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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