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Iran leadership change by...?
$27,524,080 Vol.Jun 30, 2027Polybet
October 31
$660,399 Vol.
2%
November 30
$216,266 Vol.
7%
December 31
$5,226,270 Vol.
13%
June 30, 2027
$426,605 Vol.
25%
1%
March 13
$0 Vol.
0%
March 31
$3,230,922 Vol.
0%
April 30
$4,964,959 Vol.
0%
1%
May 31
$3,411,721 Vol.
0%
1%
June 30
$4,386,482 Vol.
0%
July 31
$1,552,293 Vol.
0%
August 15
$61,814 Vol.
0%
August 22
$79,532 Vol.
0%
August 31
$1,599,414 Vol.
0%
September 30
$1,707,402 Vol.
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or... This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 8, 2026, 10:58 PM ET
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