Polybet

Trade what happens next

Trade probabilities on future events. Each position’s price is set by supply and demand.

Live tape

$106 NO
Ethereum Up or Down 0xa1d1…46bc
$1,088 NO
Solana Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM… 0xa1eb…7f19
$273 YES
Fed Decision in July? 0xa204…b775
$2,580 NO
Ethereum Up or Down 0xa21e…efd2
$7,328 YES
Bitcoin Up or Down 0xa237…282f
$2,868 NO
Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00… 0xa250…608b
$19,675 YES
Trump approval above 50%? 0xa26a…98e8
$73 NO
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) 0xa283…d145
$33,768 YES
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) 0xa29d…09a1
$240 YES
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00… 0xa2b6…41fe
$5,940 NO
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00… 0xa2cf…7a5b
$958 YES
NBA: LeBron James Next Team 0xa2e9…b2b7
$387 NO
Solana Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM… 0xa302…eb14
$439 YES
Bitcoin Up or Down 0xa31b…2371

Market brief

Current distribution of market expectations

Open interest $349.16M

24h volume $31.27M

Canada

Next Premier of Quebec

Bernard Drainville 0% Yes No

Christine Fréchette 33% Yes No

27 more

$302.4KVol. 5 oct Global Elections

Winnipeg Mayoral Election

Scott Gillingham 54% Yes No

Joshua Pagdato 0% Yes No

35 more

$20.1KVol. 28 oct Canada

US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

August 31 0% Yes No

December 31 61% Yes No

2 more

$99.1KVol. 1 jan Canada

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Chance

Yes6¢ No94¢

$271.6KVol. 31 dec Canada

Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Steven Del Duca 88% Yes No

Parveen Bola 3% Yes No

25 more

$17.6KVol. 26 oct Canada

Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 57% Yes No

Pam Alexis 43% Yes No

28 more

$9.2KVol. 27 sept World

Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats?

<28 24% Yes No

28-31 26% Yes No

4 more

$14.0KVol. 6 oct World

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

50+ bps increase 0% Yes No

25 bps increase 6% Yes No

3 more

$50.6KVol. 28 oct Canada

Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Kelly Lazo de la Vega 2% Yes No

Emil Parfyonov 2% Yes No

30 more

$3.1KVol. 6 oct World

West Vancouver, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Mark Sager 44% Yes No

Kirk LaPointe 38% Yes No

25 more

$2.9KVol. 17 oct Canada

Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Stéphanie Martin 27% Yes No

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin 27% Yes No

29 more

$1.5KVol. 6 oct World

Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Alexandre Daneau 34% Yes No

Claude Reid 63% Yes No

29 more

$3.5KVol. 6 oct World

Quebec General Election: Third Place

CAQ 22% Yes No

PQ 2% Yes No

13 more

$8.9KVol. 5 oct World

Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Charles Page 51% Yes No

Sébastien Schneeberger 17% Yes No

28 more

$2.0KVol. 6 oct World

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow 89% Yes No

Brad Bradford 12% Yes No

34 more

$146.9KVol. 26 oct Politics

Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Isabelle Blais 43% Yes No

Simon Allaire 51% Yes No

30 more

$4.0KVol. 6 oct World

Surrey Mayoral Election

Brenda Locke 39% Yes No

Doug McCallum 7% Yes No

31 more

$18.0KVol. 17 oct Canada

Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Bernard Sévigny 15% Yes No

Guillaume Rousseau 47% Yes No

30 more

$2.2KVol. 6 oct World

Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Élodie Murphy-Gauthier 45% Yes No

Guy Veillette 14% Yes No

29 more

$1.1KVol. 6 oct World

Thunder Bay, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Trevor Giertuga 24% Yes No

Moe Comuzzi 11% Yes No

25 more

$6.9KVol. 26 oct Canada