Polybet

Trade what happens next

Trade probabilities on future events. Each position’s price is set by supply and demand.

Live tape

$33,223 NO
Next Prime Minister of Canada 0x9fef…17db
$62,013 NO
XRP Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET 0xa008…5038
$5,172 YES
XRP Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET 0xa022…8895
$1,813 NO
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00… 0x9d0e…b55c
$2,406 NO
Will there be a US recession this year? 0x9d28…edb9
$316 YES
Fed Decision in July? 0x9d41…2616
$474 YES
Solana above $200? 0x9d5a…5e72
$14 NO
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00… 0x9d74…96cf
$120 NO
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) 0x9d8d…cf2c
$681 YES
Solana Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM… 0x9da7…0788
$719 YES
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00P… 0x9dc0…3fe5
$57 NO
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00P… 0x9dd9…7842
$463 NO
Will there be a US recession this year? 0x9df3…b09e
$1,190 YES
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00… 0x9e0c…e8fb

Market brief

Current distribution of market expectations

Open interest $349.16M

24h volume $31.27M

Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election

Tarcisio de Freitas 0% Yes No

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 56% Yes No

$143.6MVol. 4 oct Politics

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Tarcisio de Freitas 0% Yes No

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 7% Yes No

$6.5MVol. 4 oct Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Tarcisio de Freitas 0% Yes No

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 0% Yes No

$1.0MVol. 4 oct Brazil

Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place

Alexandre Mariano 0% Yes No

Antônio Barros 0% Yes No

$38.4KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Romeu Zema 1% Yes No

Ronaldo Caiado 1% Yes No

$577.3KVol. 4 oct Politics

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Dr. Luizinho 0% Yes No

Eduardo Pazuello 0% Yes No

$448.2KVol. 5 oct Brazil

Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place

Bartô Macuxi 0% Yes No

Chico Rodrigues 2% Yes No

$58.4KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

Ana Luiza do MLB 0% Yes No

Arcanjo Pimenta 0% Yes No

$36.7KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

5%

Chance

Yes5¢ No95¢

$215.2KVol. 4 oct Politics

Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

Lula 89% Yes No

Flavio Bolsonaro 10% Yes No

$18.6KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place

Angelo Coronel 3% Yes No

Carlos Sodré 0% Yes No

$26.2KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place

Cintia Dias 2% Yes No

Dr. Zacharias Calil 6% Yes No

$34.2KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place

Alcides Fernandes 1% Yes No

Capitão Wagner 26% Yes No

$10.6KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

24%

Chance

Yes24¢ No76¢

$43.3KVol. 31 dec Politics

Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place

Daniela Mulheres Socialistas 0% Yes No

Frederico Antunes 0% Yes No

$25.7KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva <5% 44% Yes No

Lula da Silva 5-10% 39% Yes No

$387.2KVol. 4 oct World

Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place

Capitão Alberto Neto 15% Yes No

Dailson Corrêa 0% Yes No

$34.2KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place

Bartô Macuxi 0% Yes No

Chico Rodrigues 3% Yes No

$50.2KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Alagoas Senate Election: 2nd Place

Alexandre Fleming 0% Yes No

Arthur Lira 22% Yes No

$23.6KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Alagoas Senate Election: 1st Place

Alexandre Fleming 1% Yes No

Arthur Lira 32% Yes No

$18.6KVol. 4 oct Brazil