Polybet

Trade what happens next

Trade probabilities on future events. Each position’s price is set by supply and demand.

Live tape

$240 YES
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ET 0xa2b6…41fe
$5,940 NO
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ET 0xa2cf…7a5b
$958 YES
NBA: LeBron James Next Team 0xa2e9…b2b7
$387 NO
Solana Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ET 0xa302…eb14
$439 YES
Bitcoin Up or Down 0xa31b…2371
$47 NO
XRP Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ET 0xa335…5bcd
$1,729 NO
Trump approval above 50%? 0xa34e…942a
$1,191 YES
XRP Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ET 0xa03b…c0f1
$67 NO
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ET 0xa054…f94e
$694 YES
Presidential Election Winner 2028 0xa06e…31ab
$989 YES
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ET 0xa087…6a07
$356 NO
XRP Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ET 0xa0a1…a264
$74 YES
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) 0xa0ba…dac1
$32,015 YES
BNB Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ET 0xa0d3…131d

Market brief

Current distribution of market expectations

Open interest $349.16M

24h volume $31.27M

Token launch

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

June 30, 2027 39% Yes No

December 31, 2027 57% Yes No

$7.6MVol. 1 jan Token launch

Will Ink launch a token by ___?

June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

September 30, 2026 6% Yes No

$75.6KVol. 1 jan Crypto

Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?

30%

Chance

Yes30¢ No70¢

$44.0KVol. 1 jan Crypto

Will Apyx launch a token by ___?

June 30, 2026 12% Yes No

September 30, 2026 1% Yes No

$59.3KVol. 1 jan Crypto

Will Abstract launch a token by ___?

September 30, 2026 2% Yes No

March 31, 2027 45% Yes No

$538.2KVol. 1 jan Crypto

Will Concrete launch a token by ___?

June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

September 30, 2026 50% Yes No

$54.4KVol. 1 jan Crypto

Will Ethos launch a token by ___?

October 8, 2026 90% Yes No

October 15, 2026 96% Yes No

$2.1KVol. 1 jan Ethos

Will Daylight launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 32% Yes No

December 31, 2025 0% Yes No

$193.5KVol. 1 jan Token launch

Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?

December 31 0% Yes No

June 30 0% Yes No

$8.7MVol. 1 jan Token launch

Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?

March 31, 2026 0% Yes No

June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

$243.2KVol. 1 jan Crypto

Will Linera launch a token by ___?

September 30, 2026 3% Yes No

December 31, 2026 69% Yes No

$12.0KVol. 1 jan Linera

Will Surf launch a token by ___?

June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

September 30, 2026 51% Yes No

$29.6KVol. 1 jan Crypto

Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2025 0% Yes No

December 31, 2026 70% Yes No

$410.7KVol. 1 jan Token launch

Will Puffpaw launch a token by ___?

June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

September 30, 2026 4% Yes No

$47.4KVol. 1 jan Crypto

Will Ritual launch a token by ___?

June 30, 2026 50% Yes No

September 30, 2026 16% Yes No

$7.2KVol. 1 jan Crypto

Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?

June 30, 2027 42% Yes No

December 31, 2027 75% Yes No

$554.5KVol. 1 jan Token launch

Will Flop launch a token by ___?

September 30, 2026 3% Yes No

December 31, 2026 41% Yes No

$9.9KVol. 1 jan Crypto

Will Opensea launch a token by ___?

March 31, 2026 0% Yes No

June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

$1.6MVol. 1 jan Pre-Market

Will Theo launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2025 0% Yes No

March 31, 2026 0% Yes No

$257.2KVol. 1 jan Token launch

Will Rho Labs launch a token by ___?

September 30, 2026 3% Yes No

December 31, 2026 39% Yes No

$6.3KVol. 1 jan Crypto