Polybet

Trade what happens next

Trade probabilities on future events. Each position’s price is set by supply and demand.

Live tape

$33,768 YES
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) 0xa29d…09a1
$240 YES
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ET 0xa2b6…41fe
$5,940 NO
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ET 0xa2cf…7a5b
$958 YES
NBA: LeBron James Next Team 0xa2e9…b2b7
$387 NO
Solana Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ET 0xa302…eb14
$439 YES
Bitcoin Up or Down 0xa31b…2371
$47 NO
XRP Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ET 0xa335…5bcd
$1,729 NO
Trump approval above 50%? 0xa34e…942a
$1,191 YES
XRP Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ET 0xa03b…c0f1
$67 NO
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ET 0xa054…f94e
$694 YES
Presidential Election Winner 2028 0xa06e…31ab
$989 YES
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ET 0xa087…6a07
$356 NO
XRP Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ET 0xa0a1…a264
$74 YES
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) 0xa0ba…dac1

Market brief

Current distribution of market expectations

Open interest $349.16M

24h volume $31.27M

Crypto

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

14%

Chance

Yes14¢ No86¢

$14.0MVol. 1 jan Crypto

Bitcoin above ___ on September 5?

68,000 100% Yes No

70,000 100% Yes No

$946.9KVol. 5 sept Bitcoin

What price will Bitcoin hit in September?

↑ 100,000 5% Yes No

↑ 97,500 6% Yes No

$2.5MVol. 1 oct Bitcoin

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 60,000 0% Yes No

↓ 60,000 100% Yes No

$63.4MVol. 1 jan Bitcoin

What price will Bitcoin hit August 31-September 6?

↑ 92,000 0% Yes No

↑ 90,000 1% Yes No

$1.2MVol. 7 sept Crypto

What price will Bitcoin hit on September 4?

↑ 88,000 0% Yes No

↑ 87,000 0% Yes No

$213.0KVol. 5 sept Crypto

What price will Ethereum hit in September?

↑ 4,000 2% Yes No

↑ 3,300 5% Yes No

$769.2KVol. 1 oct Ethereum

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

↓ 700 33% Yes No

↑ 1300 56% Yes No

$539.1KVol. 1 jan Recurring

What price will Ethereum hit August 31-September 6?

↑ 3,100 1% Yes No

↑ 3,000 0% Yes No

$333.7KVol. 7 sept Ethereum

Ethereum above ___ on September 5?

1,900 100% Yes No

2,000 100% Yes No

$125.9KVol. 5 sept Ethereum

Bitcoin above ___ on September 6?

68,000 100% Yes No

70,000 100% Yes No

$291.9KVol. 6 sept Bitcoin

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

↑ 3,000 47% Yes No

↑ 2,750 66% Yes No

$13.6MVol. 1 jan Ethereum

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5?

72%

Chance

Yes72¢ No28¢

$49.3KVol. 5 sept Crypto

Bitcoin price on September 5?

<68,000 0% Yes No

68,000-70,000 0% Yes No

$79.4KVol. 5 sept Bitcoin

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$800M 68% Yes No

$2.3MVol. 1 jan FDV

What price will Solana hit in September?

↑ 200 1% Yes No

↑ 190 2% Yes No

$140.6KVol. 1 oct Solana

Bitcoin above ___ on September 7?

68,000 100% Yes No

70,000 100% Yes No

$107.6KVol. 7 sept Bitcoin

Ethereum above ___ on September 6?

2,000 99% Yes No

2,100 99% Yes No

$46.3KVol. 6 sept Ethereum

Ethereum above ___ on September 8?

1,900 99% Yes No

2,000 99% Yes No

$40.2KVol. 8 sept Ethereum

Ethereum above ___ on September 7?

2,000 99% Yes No

2,100 99% Yes No

$47.9KVol. 7 sept Ethereum