Polybet

Trade what happens next

Trade probabilities on future events. Each position’s price is set by supply and demand.

Live tape

$33,223 NO
Next Prime Minister of Canada 0x9fef…17db
$62,013 NO
XRP Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET 0xa008…5038
$5,172 YES
XRP Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET 0xa022…8895
$1,813 NO
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00… 0x9d0e…b55c
$2,406 NO
Will there be a US recession this year? 0x9d28…edb9
$316 YES
Fed Decision in July? 0x9d41…2616
$474 YES
Solana above $200? 0x9d5a…5e72
$14 NO
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00… 0x9d74…96cf
$120 NO
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) 0x9d8d…cf2c
$681 YES
Solana Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM… 0x9da7…0788
$719 YES
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00P… 0x9dc0…3fe5
$57 NO
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00P… 0x9dd9…7842
$463 NO
Will there be a US recession this year? 0x9df3…b09e
$1,190 YES
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:55PM-8:00… 0x9e0c…e8fb

Market brief

Current distribution of market expectations

Open interest $349.16M

24h volume $31.27M

Weather

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?

23°C or below 0% Yes No

24°C 0% Yes No

$196.8KVol. 4 sept Weather

Highest temperature in Chicago on September 4?

79°F or below 0% Yes No

80-81°F 0% Yes No

$87.9KVol. 4 sept Weather

Highest temperature in NYC on September 4?

73°F or below 0% Yes No

74-75°F 0% Yes No

$70.2KVol. 4 sept Weather

Highest temperature in Toronto on September 4?

21°C or below 0% Yes No

22°C 0% Yes No

$57.9KVol. 4 sept Weather

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4?

12°C or below 0% Yes No

13°C 0% Yes No

$51.7KVol. 4 sept Weather

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 4?

23°C or below 0% Yes No

24°C 0% Yes No

$43.1KVol. 4 sept Weather

Highest temperature in Dallas on September 4?

85°F or below 0% Yes No

86-87°F 0% Yes No

$44.3KVol. 4 sept Weather

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 5?

15°C or below 0% Yes No

16°C 0% Yes No

$38.4KVol. 5 sept Weather

Highest temperature in Miami on September 4?

79°F or below 0% Yes No

80-81°F 0% Yes No

$45.2KVol. 4 sept Weather

Highest temperature in Austin on September 4?

87°F or below 0% Yes No

88-89°F 0% Yes No

$45.4KVol. 4 sept Weather

Highest temperature in Houston on September 4?

81°F or below 0% Yes No

82-83°F 0% Yes No

$45.1KVol. 4 sept Weather

Highest temperature in Madrid on September 5?

33°C or below 1% Yes No

34°C 2% Yes No

$39.7KVol. 5 sept Weather

Highest temperature in Munich on September 5?

18°C or below 0% Yes No

19°C 0% Yes No

$32.2KVol. 5 sept Weather

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 4?

65°F or below 0% Yes No

66-67°F 0% Yes No

$36.6KVol. 4 sept Weather

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?

20°C or below 0% Yes No

21°C 0% Yes No

$29.1KVol. 5 sept Weather

Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 5?

21°C or below 0% Yes No

22°C 1% Yes No

$27.9KVol. 5 sept Weather

Highest temperature in Paris on September 5?

20°C or below 0% Yes No

21°C 0% Yes No

$29.2KVol. 5 sept Weather

Highest temperature in Atlanta on September 4?

85°F or below 0% Yes No

86-87°F 0% Yes No

$31.9KVol. 4 sept Weather

Highest temperature in Denver on September 4?

79°F or below 0% Yes No

80-81°F 0% Yes No

$45.2KVol. 4 sept Weather

Highest temperature in London on September 5?

18°C or below 0% Yes No

19°C 0% Yes No

$28.4KVol. 5 sept Weather