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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$73,688,051 Vol.Dec 31, 2026Polybet
December 31
$41,726,340 Vol.
4%
October 31
$925,256 Vol.
<1%
March 31
$1,941,378 Vol.
0%
April 30
$1,938,643 Vol.
0%
May 31
$8,741,733 Vol.
0%
June 30
$11,225,287 Vol.
0%
September 30
$7,189,414 Vol.
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 25, 2025, 1:05 PM ET
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